Statistically, Eagles Comeback Was Near Impossible

Many fans around Philadelphia turned off their televisions when the Eagles were down 31-10 to the Giants on Sunday. Even NBC10’s own Tim Furlong admitted to it.

While those of us who stuck around witnessed perhaps the most incredible comeback in Eagles history, was it that wrong to walk away from such a huge deficit? There’s no “right” answer, but at least statistically, there was no reason to expect the Birds could come back to win — even if every ball bounced their way.

According to the Win Probability calculated by Advanced NFL Stats, that possibility was as close to zero as you could get. Let’s break it down by play…